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George Pickens

George Pickens Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

George Pickens Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+431/-974).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -935 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -974.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects George Pickens to be a much bigger part of his team's pass game near the goal line this week (12.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (0.0% in games he has played).

The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (64.6%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (64.6%).

The Cleveland Browns linebackers profile as the best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has allowed their QB a mere 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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