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George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the 49ers this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average).

With a sizeable 86.7% Route Participation Rate (98th percentile) since the start of last season, George Kittle rates among the TEs with the most usage in football.

In this contest, George Kittle is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 91st percentile among tight ends with 5.3 targets.

George Kittle ranks as one of the best pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 4.2 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 87th percentile.

George Kittle's 89.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a noteworthy boost in his receiving prowess over last season's 72.7% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the 49ers, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.

Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are expected by the projections to run just 61.6 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 25.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense this year: fewest in football.

The San Francisco O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all pass game statistics across the board.

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