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George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs New England Patriots

George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-155).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the Patriots defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.

George Kittle has run a route on 87.0% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 98th percentile among tight ends.

In this week's game, George Kittle is forecasted by the projection model to slot into the 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.5 targets.

George Kittle profiles as one of the top tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 4.2 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.

George Kittle's 85.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a noteworthy improvement in his receiving prowess over last year's 72.7% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 11.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a massive favorite this week, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the 49ers to pass on 51.8% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are projected by the predictive model to call only 60.2 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.

The 49ers have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.0 plays per game.

When it comes to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers grades out as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season.

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