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George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers

George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect George Kittle to accumulate 6.9 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs.

George Kittle's 50.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 97th percentile for tight ends.

George Kittle's pass-catching performance improved this year, totaling 5.1 adjusted receptions vs a mere 4.0 last year.

George Kittle's 83.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year marks an impressive improvement in his receiving skills over last year's 72.7% figure.

The Dolphins linebackers rank as the 9th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the 49ers as the 11th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 49ers have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.3 plays per game.

This year, the formidable Miami Dolphins defense has allowed a paltry 72.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 8th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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