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George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -156.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in football.

This week, George Kittle is projected by the predictive model to rank in the 94th percentile among tight ends with 7.1 targets.

George Kittle's 55.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 48.4.

George Kittle's receiving talent has improved this season, notching 5.8 adjusted receptions vs a mere 4.0 last season.

George Kittle's 82.5% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a substantial progression in his pass-catching talent over last season's 72.7% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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