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George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a high 84.0% Route% (96th percentile) this year, George Kittle rates among the tight ends with the most usage in the NFL.
  • In this contest, George Kittle is expected by the predictive model to position himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.6 targets.
  • With a terrific 3.4 adjusted receptions per game (78th percentile) this year, George Kittle rates as one of the leading pass-game tight ends in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.72 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • The the San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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