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George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a remarkable 83.3% Route Participation Rate (95th percentile) this year, George Kittle rates among the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • The leading projections forecast George Kittle to accrue 5.3 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among tight ends.
  • With an exceptional 3.5 adjusted catches per game (80th percentile) this year, George Kittle places among the leading pass-game TEs in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.28 seconds per snap.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally cause worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher run volume.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a measly 27.5 per game) this year.

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