My Account Log Out

reorder

George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean higher pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense efficiency when facing better conditions this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the NFL.

George Kittle has run a route on 88.1% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile among tight ends.

The leading projections forecast George Kittle to total 5.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs.

George Kittle has been among the leading pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.0 receptions per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a heavy 14.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 123.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

George Kittle's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 74.7% to 71.1%.

The Cardinals pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (68.3%) vs. TEs this year (68.3%).

More George Kittle Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™