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George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.0 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The projections expect George Kittle to notch 5.8 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • George Kittle's 48.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 42.2.
  • With an impressive 4.0 adjusted catches per game (86th percentile) this year, George Kittle stands among the best TE receiving threats in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 10-point advantage, the 49ers are a heavy favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the 49ers to pass on 52.4% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (only 53.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
  • The San Francisco 49ers offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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