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George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-174/+135).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -146 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -174.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Commanders defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (38.1 per game) this year.In this game, George Kittle is projected by the model to place in the 86th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.6 targets.George Kittle's 49.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 42.2.George Kittle rates as one of the leading pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a fantastic 4.1 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Washington's LB corps has been dreadful this year, grading out as the 9th-worst in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 14-point advantage, the 49ers are heavily favored in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the 49ers to pass on 49.6% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.The predictive model expects the 49ers to call the 4th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the 49ers this year (a measly 53.1 per game on average).In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the 49ers grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year.
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