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George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+126/-170).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +131 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +126.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Opposing teams have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.George Kittle has run a route on 82.1% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 97th percentile among TEs.THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to garner 6.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.George Kittle has been among the leading tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.1 receptions per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The San Francisco 49ers have called the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 57.0 plays per game.The Los Angeles Rams defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box versus opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
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