George Kittle Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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George Kittle

NFL · Player Props

George Kittle

TE · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-167/+124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +127 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 69.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.9 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.
George Kittle has run a route on 89.4% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to accrue 5.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.
George Kittle has been among the best pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a terrific 4.0 receptions per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 6th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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