George Kittle Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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George Kittle

NFL · Player Props

George Kittle

TE · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-170/+140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
George Kittle has run a route on 89.4% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to earn 5.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among TEs.
George Kittle has been among the top pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a stellar 4.0 receptions per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.
The San Francisco 49ers have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a massive 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (68.8%) vs. TEs this year (68.8%).
The Seattle Seahawks safeties rank as the 2nd-best group of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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