My Account Log Out
 
 
George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 69.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to garner 5.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among TEs.
  • George Kittle has been among the leading pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging an impressive 4.0 receptions per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has yielded the 2nd-highest Completion% in the league (80.5%) versus TEs this year (80.5%).
  • The Arizona Cardinals defensive tackles grade out as the worst collection of DTs in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a big 14.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • George Kittle's 40.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 46.2.
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a mere 3.4% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (6th-least in the league). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™