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George Kittle

George Kittle Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
George Kittle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.0 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 4.0 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to total 5.9 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.
  • George Kittle has been among the leading pass-game tight ends this year, averaging an impressive 3.8 receptions per game while checking in at the 88th percentile.
  • The Seattle Seahawks linebackers project as the 4th-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.87 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
  • George Kittle's 35.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 46.2.

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