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George Kittle

George Kittle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 58.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • In this contest, George Kittle is forecasted by the projection model to rank in the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.7 targets.
  • George Kittle has been a big part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 23.6% this year, which ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • In regards to air yards, George Kittle grades out in the lofty 99th percentile among tight ends this year, averaging a whopping 54.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the 49ers are projected by the projection model to run only 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 4th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • George Kittle's 9.5 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a noteable drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 10.8 rate.
  • George Kittle's 3.29 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a material diminishment in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 6.9% rate.

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