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George Kittle

George Kittle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect George Kittle to accumulate 6.9 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • When it comes to air yards, George Kittle ranks in the lofty 100th percentile among TEs this year, averaging a monstrous 61.0 per game.
  • George Kittle's 50.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 97th percentile for tight ends.
  • George Kittle's 74.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year illustrates a noteable gain in his pass-catching ability over last year's 60.0 mark.
  • George Kittle's 83.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year marks an impressive improvement in his receiving skills over last year's 72.7% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the 49ers as the 11th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The 49ers have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.3 plays per game.
  • This year, the formidable Miami Dolphins defense has allowed a paltry 72.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 8th-smallest rate in the NFL.
  • This year, the strong Dolphins defense has conceded the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a measly 6.9 yards.

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