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George Kittle

George Kittle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers

George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-103/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brandon Allen this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual game plan.

The projections expect George Kittle to accrue 6.5 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs.

George Kittle has been an integral part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 22.9% this year, which places him in the 97th percentile among TEs.

After totaling 55.0 air yards per game last season, George Kittle has seen marked improvement this season, currently boasting 62.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 127.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

George Kittle's 5.16 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a meaningful diminishment in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 6.9% rate.

The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

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