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George Kittle

George Kittle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

San Francisco 49ers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-700/+425).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 57.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ +425.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this week's contest, George Kittle is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.2 targets.
  • George Kittle has accumulated significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (61.0) this season than he did last season (49.0).
  • George Kittle's receiving effectiveness has improved this year, accumulating 10.76 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 9.21 figure last year.
  • George Kittle checks in as one of the best TEs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging an excellent 6.78 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 96th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
  • The projections expect the 49ers as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 56.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the 49ers to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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