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George Kittle

George Kittle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers

George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-139/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 51.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -139.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The projections expect George Kittle to notch 5.8 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

After accruing 41.0 air yards per game last year, George Kittle has produced significantly more this year, now pacing 55.0 per game.

George Kittle's 48.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 42.2.

George Kittle has compiled a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (60.0) this year than he did last year (49.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 10-point advantage, the 49ers are a heavy favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the 49ers to pass on 52.4% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The lowest number of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (only 53.5 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.

The San Francisco 49ers offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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