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George Kittle

George Kittle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

San Francisco 49ers vs Baltimore Ravens

George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

In this week's game, George Kittle is projected by the projection model to rank in the 86th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.6 targets.

After totaling 41.0 air yards per game last season, George Kittle has seen marked improvement this season, currently pacing 53.0 per game.

George Kittle's 48.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 42.2.

George Kittle has posted many more adjusted receiving yards per game (59.0) this year than he did last year (49.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the 49ers are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the 49ers to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 49ers have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 52.5 plays per game.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the 49ers profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year.

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