George Kittle Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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George Kittle

NFL · Player Props

George Kittle

TE · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The model projects George Kittle to accumulate 5.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
After averaging 41.0 air yards per game last year, George Kittle has undergone big improvement this year, currently boasting 52.0 per game.
George Kittle's 49.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 42.2.
George Kittle's 60.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year illustrates a remarkable gain in his receiving talent over last year's 49.0 mark.

Favors Under

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a heavy 11.5-point favorite in this game.
The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the 49ers to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 53.0 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cardinals defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.

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