|
|
George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+100/-130).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +100.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
The Eagles defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (43.0 per game) this year.The projections expect George Kittle to accumulate 6.0 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs.After totaling 41.0 air yards per game last year, George Kittle has been rising this year, now sitting at 55.0 per game.With a RATE1-RATE2 point gain in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) from last season to this one, George Kittle has been more heavily incorporated in his team's air attack.George Kittle has notched a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (59.0) this year than he did last year (49.0).
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
With a 3-point advantage, the 49ers are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their usual approach.Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 56.1% of their downs: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are projected by the projection model to call just 62.0 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.The 49ers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the 49ers ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
