George Kittle Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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George Kittle

NFL · Player Props

George Kittle

TE · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

George Kittle has run a route on 89.4% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to notch 5.5 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
George Kittle has compiled a whopping 41.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile among TEs.
George Kittle has been among the top pass-game TEs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 49.0 yards per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.
George Kittle has been among the most efficient receivers in football among tight ends, averaging an impressive 9.21 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 91st percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 10th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.
The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties rank as the 5th-best group of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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