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George Kittle

George Kittle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to garner 8.5 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among TEs.
  • THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to be a more important option in his team's passing game this week (25.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (19.1% in games he has played).
  • The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • George Kittle has been among the top tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a stellar 54.0 yards per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.2% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 57.1 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
  • George Kittle has accrued far fewer air yards this season (43.0 per game) than he did last season (58.0 per game).

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