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George Kittle

George Kittle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-143/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to accrue 7.2 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among TEs.
  • The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • George Kittle's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 75.6% to 86.3%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-least pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.3% pass rate.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.8 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • George Kittle has posted quite a few less air yards this year (28.0 per game) than he did last year (58.0 per game).
  • George Kittle's 36.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 51.7.

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