George Kittle Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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George Kittle

NFL · Player Props

George Kittle

TE · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-most in football.
George Kittle has run a route on 82.5% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.
THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to notch 5.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among tight ends.
George Kittle has accrued a colossal 54.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
George Kittle's pass-game efficiency has worsened this season, compiling a measly 7.05 yards-per-target compared to a 9.36 rate last season.
The Carolina Panthers defense has yielded the 10th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 42.0) vs. TEs this year.

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