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George Kittle

George Kittle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 69.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.9 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • George Kittle has run a route on 89.4% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among TEs.
  • THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to accrue 5.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.
  • George Kittle has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the league among TEs, averaging an impressive 9.24 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 91st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • George Kittle has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (41.0 per game) than he did last year (48.0 per game).
  • George Kittle has notched quite a few less receiving yards per game (49.0) this year than he did last year (57.0).

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