George Kittle Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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George Kittle

NFL · Player Props

George Kittle

TE · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 69.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.9 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.
George Kittle has run a route on 89.4% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to accrue 5.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.
George Kittle has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the league among TEs, averaging an impressive 9.24 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 91st percentile.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
George Kittle has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (41.0 per game) than he did last year (48.0 per game).
George Kittle has notched quite a few less receiving yards per game (49.0) this year than he did last year (57.0).

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