George Kittle Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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George Kittle

NFL · Player Props

George Kittle

TE · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
George Kittle has run a route on 89.4% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to earn 5.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among TEs.
George Kittle has been among the most effective pass-catchers in football among tight ends, averaging a terrific 9.24 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 91st percentile.
George Kittle has been among the leading TEs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging an impressive 6.13 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 84th percentile.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a massive 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
George Kittle has notched far fewer air yards this season (41.0 per game) than he did last season (48.0 per game).
George Kittle has notched substantially fewer receiving yards per game (49.0) this year than he did last year (57.0).

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