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George Kittle

George Kittle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-114/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 69.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to garner 5.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among TEs.
  • George Kittle has been among the most effective receivers in the league among TEs, averaging a terrific 9.37 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 94th percentile.
  • George Kittle has been among the top tight ends in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging an impressive 6.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 87th percentile.
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded the 3rd-most receiving yards per game in the league (65.0) vs. tight ends this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a big 14.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • George Kittle has put up quite a few less air yards this year (41.0 per game) than he did last year (48.0 per game).
  • George Kittle's 40.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 46.2.
  • George Kittle has put up substantially fewer receiving yards per game (50.0) this year than he did last year (57.0).

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