George Kittle Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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George Kittle

NFL · Player Props

George Kittle

TE · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-138/+111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to earn 6.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among TEs.
George Kittle has been among the leading tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a stellar 51.0 yards per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.
George Kittle's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Completion% jumping from 74.2% to 78.6%.
George Kittle has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the league among TEs, averaging a terrific 10.04 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 98th percentile.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
George Kittle has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (38.0 per game) than he did last season (48.0 per game).
George Kittle's 39.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 46.2.

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