George Kittle Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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George Kittle

NFL · Player Props

George Kittle

TE · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 16, 2022 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to total 5.9 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.
George Kittle has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the league among TEs, averaging a stellar 8.71 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 77th percentile.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded the 2nd-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (70.0) versus tight ends this year.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has displayed weak efficiency vs. tight ends this year, surrendering 9.35 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 7.04 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-most in the league.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.87 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
George Kittle has notched far fewer air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (48.0 per game).

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