George Kittle Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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George Kittle

NFL · Player Props

George Kittle

TE · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to total 6.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
George Kittle has been among the leading pass-game TEs this year, averaging an impressive 52.0 yards per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.
George Kittle's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 75.6% to 79.5%.
George Kittle has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging an impressive 8.99 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 85th percentile.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a heavy 7.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.
George Kittle has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (43.0 per game) than he did last season (58.0 per game).

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