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George Kittle

George Kittle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
George Kittle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to total 6.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
  • The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • George Kittle has been among the leading pass-game TEs this year, averaging an impressive 52.0 yards per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.
  • George Kittle's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 75.6% to 79.5%.
  • George Kittle has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging an impressive 8.99 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 85th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a heavy 7.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.
  • George Kittle has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (43.0 per game) than he did last season (58.0 per game).

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