Geoff Swaim Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Geoff Swaim

NFL · Player Props

Geoff Swaim

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Geoff Swaim Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 10th-most in football.
Geoff Swaim has been on the field for 65.3% of his team's snaps this year, placing him in the 79th percentile among tight ends.
The Houston Texans defense has allowed the 8th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (59.0) vs. TEs this year.
The Houston Texans safeties grade out as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 47.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 52.5 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Geoff Swaim has been among the bottom TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a lowly 12.0 yards per game while checking in at the 19th percentile among tight ends.

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