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Geno Smith

Geno Smith TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

Geno Smith TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-centric team in football (62.5% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Seattle Seahawks.

The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.02 seconds per play.

The projections expect Geno Smith to attempt 36.5 passes in this contest, on balance: the 8th-most among all quarterbacks.

The Vikings defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.1 per game) this year.

Geno Smith's passing precision has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.3% to 69.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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