Geno Smith TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

TD Passes

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Geno Smith TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-195).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 63.0% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate on the slate this week.
To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.60 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 10th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.
The predictive model expects Geno Smith to throw 37.2 passes in this game, on balance: the 6th-most out of all QBs.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens defense has given up the 2nd-fewest touchdowns through the air in football: 0.75 per game this year.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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