Geno Smith TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-116/-111).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.3% pass rate.
Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
Geno Smith has been among the most accurate passers in football this year with an impressive 68.8% Completion%, grading out in the 76th percentile.
Geno Smith has been among the top TD passers in football since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 1.70 per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.
The Giants safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Favors Under
The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
In this game, Geno Smith is forecasted by the projections to average the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 35.0.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-lowest rate in the league versus the New York Giants defense since the start of last season (68.2%).
The New York Giants defense has given up the 9th-fewest passing touchdowns in the league: 1.20 per game since the start of last season.