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Geno Smith

Geno Smith TD Passes
Player Prop Week 18

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.8% red zone pass rate.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The model projects Geno Smith to throw 35.4 passes in this game, on balance: the 9th-most out of all quarterbacks.

This year, the anemic Cardinals defense has allowed a colossal 73.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-largest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 3 points.

The predictive model expects the Seahawks to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Seahawks ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year.

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