My Account Log Out

reorder

Geno Smith

Geno Smith TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Geno Smith TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.7% pass rate.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may go down.

This year, the weak Steelers defense has yielded a staggering 1.40 passing touchdowns per game to opposing teams: the 10th-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a 4.5-point favorite this week.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are predicted by the projections to run only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average).

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.

Geno Smith's throwing precision has declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 69.4% to 65.9%.

More Geno Smith Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™