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Geno Smith

Geno Smith TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (63.9% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Seahawks.

This year, the shaky Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a whopping 73.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-worst rate in the NFL.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Tennessee's collection of CBs has been lousy this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 62.3 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.

The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (a mere 55.5 per game on average).

Geno Smith's passing accuracy has declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 69.4% to 65.4%.

This year, the imposing Tennessee Titans defense has given up a mere 1.07 passing touchdowns per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

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