Geno Smith TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

TD Passes

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 2:16 PM EST

Analysis

Geno Smith TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -210.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 66.2% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded the 2nd-fewest touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 1.00 per game this year.
When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, San Francisco's unit has been great this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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