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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seahawks are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.10 seconds per snap.

Geno Smith has rushed for substantially more yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (11.0).

Geno Smith's 6.51 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year represents a significant growth in his rushing talent over last year's 5.63 rate.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the league (141 per game) versus the Chicago Bears defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 5th-least run-focused team in football (36.6% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Seattle Seahawks.

Geno Smith grades out as one of the worst quarterbacks in the league at generating extra running yardage, averaging just 0.66 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 15th percentile.

The Chicago Bears safeties profile as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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