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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.02 seconds per play.

Geno Smith's 16.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year indicates a material progression in his rushing skills over last year's 11.0 rate.

Geno Smith's rushing effectiveness has improved this season, accumulating 6.39 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 5.63 figure last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 10th-least run-heavy team in the NFL (37.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Seahawks.

With an awful tally of 0.66 yards-after-contact (15th percentile), Geno Smith ranks as one of the weakest running quarterbacks in football this year.

The opposing side have run for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 86.0 per game) versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.

When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Minnesota's unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.

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