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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 131.2 plays on offense run: the 5th-most among all games this week.

Geno Smith's 17.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season conveys an impressive improvement in his running ability over last season's 11.0 figure.

Geno Smith's 6.44 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season reflects an impressive progression in his rushing proficiency over last season's 5.63 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 39.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

With a dreadful rate of 0.68 yards-after-contact (18th percentile), Geno Smith places among the worst running QBs in football this year.

This year, the deficient Packers run defense has yielded a staggering 4.28 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's running game: the 24th-worst rate in football.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Green Bay's DE corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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