Geno Smith Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.60 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 10th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.

Favors Under

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to run on 37.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Geno Smith to notch 2.2 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
Geno Smith has been a less important option in his offense's run game this year (8.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (13.7%).
As it relates to run support (and the importance it has on all run game stats), the O-line of the Seattle Seahawks grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL last year.

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