Geno Smith Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-121/-119).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Geno Smith has grinded out 20.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in football among quarterbacks (75th percentile).
The Detroit Lions defense has had the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, yielding 5.27 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 37.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have run the 10th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in run blocking.

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