Geno Smith Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seattle Seahawks offense has played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.93 seconds per snap.
The Rams defense has produced the 7th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering 4.57 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Seahawks as the 7th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 39.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
This week, Geno Smith is expected by the projections to total the 4th-fewest carries out of all quarterbacks with 2.5.
After accounting for 13.7% of his team's run game usage last year, Geno Smith has been called on less the run game this year, now making up only 7.6%.
The Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL last year at executing run-blocking assingments.
Geno Smith's 8.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year conveys a significant reduction in his running proficiency over last year's 21.0 figure.

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