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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-108/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to garner 4.4 rush attempts this week, on average: the 10th-most of all QBs.

Geno Smith isn't afraid to run the ball himself, accounting for 13.7% of his team's carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile among QBs.

Geno Smith has grinded out 21.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the NFL among quarterbacks (78th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks rank as the 7th-least run-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 36.3% run rate.

The Seattle Seahawks O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.

Geno Smith has been among the weakest quarterbacks in football at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 1.18 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 16th percentile.

The Los Angeles Rams safeties profile as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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