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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Geno Smith has averaged 3.4 rush attempts per game this year, one of the biggest rates in football among QBs (76th percentile).
  • THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game this week (17.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (9.0% in games he has played).
  • Geno Smith has averaged 20.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in the league among quarterbacks (78th percentile).
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense has had the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up 5.05 yards-per-carry.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.
  • Geno Smith has been among the weakest quarterbacks in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a mere 0.66 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 13th percentile.
  • The Arizona Cardinals safeties profile as the best collection of safeties in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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