Geno Smith Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Geno Smith has averaged 3.4 rush attempts per game this year, one of the biggest rates in football among QBs (76th percentile).
THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game this week (17.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (9.0% in games he has played).
Geno Smith has averaged 20.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in the league among quarterbacks (78th percentile).
The Arizona Cardinals defense has had the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up 5.05 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.
Geno Smith has been among the weakest quarterbacks in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a mere 0.66 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 13th percentile.
The Arizona Cardinals safeties profile as the best collection of safeties in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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