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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+107/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -141.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 44.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Geno Smith has averaged 3.3 rush attempts per game this year, one of the highest rates in the NFL among quarterbacks (78th percentile).
  • THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to be a more important option in his team's running game this week (17.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (9.9% in games he has played).
  • Geno Smith has averaged 19.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in football among QBs (78th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.4 plays per game.
  • The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year at blocking for the run game.
  • Geno Smith has been among the worst QBs in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 0.37 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 10th percentile.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have utilized motion in their offense on 28.2% of their plays since the start of last season (5th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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